Forex Analysis

Trading ideas for Monday 01.25.2016

Hello.Let's see what's on the Forex market trading on Monday 25.01.2016

Calendar anticipated events

12:00 Eurozone.IFO business climate index in Germany
21:00 Eurozone.ECB President Draghi


GVPUSDaili 25012016

on a pair GBPUSD price failed to consolidate above 1.4300 and formed a Pin Bar.Probably continue to trend down after the correction.I continue to be considered for this pair only sales.


NZDOSDaili 25012016

On NZDUSD pair formed the inner bar in the level of 0.65000 area.We can finish the correction and try to continue to fall and go down below 0.64000.But perhaps stay while in purchases of 0.6400 with the expectation of continued growth to 0.67000 or higher.

Fundamental analysis


Chinese stocks started the week on a firm foot, continuing growth after Friday's rise in oil prices, contributed to the global growth of the shares.

Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.6% in early trade, while the CSI300 index of the largest industrial companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen rose by 0.5%.

After growing by 10% on Friday, and helping Wall Street to grow by more than 2%, the price of oil had a fresh gains in Asia on Monday, Brent trading above $ 32 per barrel.

Against this background, the yuan is likely to stabilize and may even get a reprieve from the devaluation tehnicheskikuyu prospects.

Little China markets fell by almost 16% this gozhu amid concerns about slowing economies and confusion in the monetary policy of the central bank, and very low trading volumes reflect the lack of confidence of investors and the prevailing volatility.

Saturday IMF managing director Christine Lagarde said that financial markets need to achieve clarity and certainty with regard to how to respond to the unpredictable Chinese monetary policy.

depreciation of RMB and China's decline in stock markets amid fears of a global slowdown triggered capital flight from the second largest economy in the world, which in turn undermined the economies of the countries that have been associated with China trade relations.

Japan, for example, reported on Monday that exports to China, which is its largest trading partner, fell by 8.6% in December compared with a year of injury, the fifth consecutive month, reflecting not only lower prices for commodities,and sluggish Chinese demand.


Japanese exports fell to a minimum of three years in December, stoking fears of an economic downturn in the last quarter of 2015 against a background of weakness in China and emerging markets originates from an export-dependent economy.

Ministry of Finance data on Monday showed that exports fell by 8.0% in December, falling at the time for the third consecutive month and marking the biggest drop since September 2012.

annual decline was expected by the Ministry, 6.8%

Such weak data should keep the Bank of Japan under pressure to act on his economic review on 28-29 January, which will also talk about how the collapse in oil prices pushesinflation expectations and worries of the Chinese slowdown continue to inflict damage to stock markets around the world.

Given the decline in imports, domestic demand is likely to fall, and thus, the chances are high that the economy postaradala from reduction in October-December.

seasonally adjusted exports fell by 3.8% in December compared with the previous month, data from the Ministry showed.

Exports to China, which is Japan's largest trading partner, fell 8.6% in December, due to the slowing down of chemicals and electronic components.

Shipments to Asia, which account for more than half of Japan's exports, decreased by 10.3% for the year to December.

Exports to the United States, another key market for Japanese goods, fell by 3.4% year on year in December, led by the reduction of export deliveries of mining machines and machines for the processing of steel and other metals.Shipments to the European Union, meanwhile, rose by 3.1%.

Imports fell by 18.0% during the year to December, compared with the average forecast of 16.4%, resulting in a trade balance turned into positive territory 140.2 billion yen.

In the short term, such news can significantly push down the yen.There are, of course, a number of nuances that allow the Japanese currency to make sustainable corrective movement and define the necessary pulses to recover.Among them are even to some extent the negative news from the Chinese market, forcing investors to seek refuge in Japan for its assets.However, exports and trade relations with China, of course, have been and remain the main criterion for evaluating the growth of the Japanese market.

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